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Trade Dynamics

LOCATION:HOME - NEWS - Trade Dynamics

A market hiding the first wave of New-Year bonuses for foreign-trade players—now heating up!

Issuing time:2026-01-19 Author: Back to list

The New Year has only just begun.

Fresh on the heels of Turkey announcing visa-free travel for Chinese citizens, a second country has now done the same — the Philippines.

What looks like a thin piece of paper is, in reality, the tip of a much deeper contest between economic revival and geopolitical calculation.


The Philippine Department of Foreign Affairs has officially announced visa-free entry for Chinese citizens


The Philippine Department of Foreign Affairs announced on January 15 that Chinese citizens will be exempt from visa requirements for entry into the Philippines starting January 16, 2026, with a maximum stay of 14 days.

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In a formal statement, the Philippine Department of Foreign Affairs said the move is intended to “boost trade, investment and tourism between the Philippines and China and to strengthen people-to-people exchanges.”

For years Manila’s visa regime was among the least welcoming in Southeast Asia. The abrupt shift—from high hurdles to active liberalisation—reflects both economic and geopolitical calculus.

Economically, Manila hopes easier visas will pull in more Chinese tourists and investors. Strategically, the government is leaning closer to Beijing.

Veteran exporters have already spotted the takeaway: this archipelago market is expanding at break-neck speed and a more convenient trade gateway is swinging open. The Philippines, already of strategic value, is now a must-contest piece of any New-Year Southeast-Asia playbook. For traders who know the region, Manila’s importance—and its upside—are finally being unlocked.


Visa free+RCEP, double reduction of opportunity threshold

The Philippines offers 72 million workers with a median age of just 25.7 and a minimum wage roughly one-third of China’s. Sitting astride sea lanes that reach both Southeast-Asian neighbours and North America, the archipelago is a natural logistics hub.

Between 2022 and 2028 Manila plans to pour about PHP 9 trillion (≈ USD 160 billion) into infrastructure. One-hundred-and-ninety-four projects—already approved—cover mass transit, power, health, IT, water and agriculture, creating outsized demand for machinery, components and construction materials.

Under RCEP, the Philippines has also granted new zero-tariff access to Chinese autos and parts, plastics and home appliances. Duties that ranged from 3%–30% are being phased out, cutting landed costs by more than 12% on tariff savings alone.

Now the fresh visa-free rule turns opportunity from “visible” to “touchable”. Combined policy bonuses lower both travel and trade hurdles—and magnify profit margins for exporters ready to move.


The complementarity between China and the Philippines is highlighted, and the market is irreplaceable

The Philippines is no longer an optional "potential" market—it is the core beachhead for any exporter serious about Southeast Asia.

For nine straight years China has been the Philippines’ largest trading partner and its No. 1 source of imports. In January-November 2025 two-way merchandise trade reached USD 65.67 billion, up USD 496 million (0.8 %) year-on-year:

  • Chinese exports to the Philippines: USD 50.37 billion (+5.9 %)

  • Philippine exports to China: USD 15.30 billion (-13 %)

  • China’s trade surplus: USD 35.07 billion

Top 10 Chinese exports to the Philippines (Jan-Nov 2025)

1、Low-value simplified clearance items (HS 980400) – USD 1.97 bn

2、Other memory ICs (HS 854232) – USD 1.77 bn

3、Diesel (ex-biodiesel) (HS 271019) – USD 1.30 bn

4、Smart-phones (HS 851713) – USD 0.74 bn

5、Solar cells assembled into modules (HS 854143) – USD 0.67 bn

6、Other steel structures & parts (HS 640299) – USD 0.57 bn

7、Footwear with plastic uppers (HS 640299) – USD 0.54 bn

8、Aviation kerosene (HS 271019) – USD 0.52 bn

9、Lithium-ion batteries (HS 850760) – USD 0.51 bn

10、Other integrated circuits (HS 854239) – USD 0.49 bn

       Manila is pushing industrial upgrading and massive infrastructure projects, creating sustained demand for Chinese machinery, electronics, textiles and other manufactured goods. In return, Philippine tropical fruit, coconut products and nickel ore diversify China’s supply chain, forming a win-win trade loop that is hard to replicate.

       The new visa-free regime is the perfect entry window. Add solid trade fundamentals, multiple policy tail-winds and continuously exploding incremental demand, and the Philippines is no longer a "potential stock" but a proven performer. Ride the policy breeze, match products to needs and seize first-mover advantage—your 2026 mega-order could be hiding on these energetic islands.